Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets. All recommended bets are tracked as one unit (bet to win one unit on favorite and risk one unit on underdog) unless stated otherwise. If you want, you can use the model projection to be in proportion to its perceived edge.
All game lines via VSiN’s NHL Odds Page. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey and Natural Stat Trick. Follow me on Twitter.
Record: 114-111, -5.15 units, -2.2 percent ROI
Market Report Recap for Game 2
Val Nichushkin recorded five shots on goal in Game 2 and easily went the 2.5 total at -160. There were no other recommended bets on Saturday.
Market Report for Game 3
Let’s look at Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final from a betting perspective.
Colorado Avalanche (-110) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-110)
In Game 1, the Lightning generated just 23 shots on goal. It was their lowest shot total in game yet in these playoffs. The expectation was that they would be better in Game 2, but they weren’t. The Avalanche played a complete game and held the Lightning to just 16 shots on goal. It sure looks like the market (myself included) undervalued the Avalanche heading into this series, but hindsight is notably cleverer than foresight. The Lightning look tired and beaten down, unable to compete with the younger, faster team from Colorado.